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Matt Mitrione FREE Breakdown:
Sergei Kharitonov comes into this one riding high with the bookies after beating Roy Nelson, but in age 38 his abilities will probably not be improving. Mitrione gets the superior technique, durability and power status that ought to see him using a sensible benefit. Kharitonov will be looking to get down the fight but it’s going to be difficult given Mitrione’s exceptional athleticism. Anticipate a tentative start from both guys before Mitrione starts amassing strikes to get a TKO stoppage.
Bet = Mitrione at 1.95 (-105) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 2.85 Units.Francis Ngannou Breakdown:
Cain is coming to this struggle after a substantial injury layoff. In fact he has had only one victory because Ngannou entered the UFC, having fought 9 occasions himself. With so many question marks on his condition the struggle seems to be lined overly wide. Ngannou obviously has enormous stopping power and will be very dangerous on the feet . If Cain has lost a step or comes from appearing slow he is in trouble. Historically his style attracts a whole lot of pressure to opponents but he’s receptive to taking shots himself, especially when gassed. Both guys have avenues to success here, Ngannou can keep the fight standing and find an early KO. Cain will wish to avoid the early storm and look to wear the larger man out using takedowns and cage strain. We like the underdog in what seems like a 50/50 fight going in. On the other hand, the winner of this fight is very likely to look dominant.
Bet = Ngannou at 2.65 (+165) odds. Risk 2 Units to acquire 3.3 Units.
James Vick Breakdown:
Vick’s stock is at an all-time low after his latest KO but his run to the top was impressive. Inside this matchup he’ll be the superior technical fighter with both the duration and speed benefit. Felder has a tendency to mirror his opponent but he will have to turn this one into a brawl to find success. It’s possible he connects with a kill shot, but the rest of the avenues to success are in Vick’s favour. Felder takes a close range fight to utilise his best weapons but Vick has revealed he can stick to a gameplan and keep it at range. We like the line on Vick to cruise to victory with a clinical choice.
Bet = Vick at 1.91 (-110) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 2.73 Units.
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